TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Zirə FK and SK Torpedo Kutaisi, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Zirə FK and SK Torpedo Kutaisi, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Sportsbooks typically offer three-way or two-way outcomes, whereas this market isolates exact scores, providing granular probability estimates that sportsbooks rarely publish directly. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on match likelihood, though sportsbook lines remain the industry standard for sports betting.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the crowd's collective belief in that scoreline's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The most heavily traded outcomes typically command the highest liquidity, making them easier to enter and exit at tight spreads.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Zirə FK versus Torpedo Kutaisi match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, with no ambiguity about which exact score prediction wins. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift probabilities toward higher or lower-scoring outcomes. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets in the hours before kickoff as they deploy larger positions. Social media sentiment and expert predictions may also sway casual traders. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster decisions can trigger sharp repricing, especially if they suggest one side will adopt a more defensive or attacking approach.