TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Zimbabwe and Congo DR. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance between the two sides. Outcomes depend entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios for the Zimbabwe vs Congo DR AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for September 28, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct primary rules define potential resolutions: Zimbabwe winning by more than 2.5 goals, Zimbabwe winning by more than 1.5 goals, Congo DR winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Congo DR winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a specific outcome (Yes) if the stated condition is met; otherwise, the market resolves as No. All markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially factoring in less quantifiable elements like team morale or late-breaking news. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, and the market adjusts accordingly. Comparing the implied probabilities can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread of the Zimbabwe vs Congo DR match as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine which outcome—a positive or negative spread—accurately reflects the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Zimbabwe or Congo DR would likely cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or unexpected team performance in preceding matches, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the game's location could also be catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely move the market.