TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Zimbabwe will defeat Bangladesh in their men's professional ODI cricket match. On Kalshi, Zimbabwe winning is priced at 99.0%, while Bangladesh winning stands at 1.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the match scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, as determined by cricket governing body rules. Watch for the match outcome on July 9, 2026, which will determine final settlement.
The match resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body. If Zimbabwe wins, the Zimbabwe market resolves Yes. If Bangladesh wins, the Bangladesh market resolves Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where consensus shifts as match day approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As traders place bids and offers, the market price adjusts in real time. You can enter at the current ask, bid at a lower price, or place limit orders to execute when the price reaches your target level.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official result of the cricket match between the two teams. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift with team news, injury updates, and other developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the final verified outcome.
Key catalysts include team announcements, player injuries, weather forecasts, and recent form leading into match day. Lineup changes, captain statements, or tactical shifts can shift trader sentiment significantly. Betting activity on external sportsbooks may also influence prediction market prices as information cascades across venues. Social media discussion, expert commentary, and any last-minute venue or scheduling updates will likely trigger repricing. Close to the start time, final odds often reflect the sharpest collective judgment available.