TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC
Volume:
$140,104
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up game, while win/loss markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no reschedule, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its win/loss markets resolve No. This creates a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language suggests it may not resolve at all without match completion. Verify cancellation status with CSL-China.com and the Chinese FA before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Qingdao Xihaian win resolves Yes if Qingdao wins, No otherwise or if canceled. (2) Draw resolves Yes if match ends in a draw OR if canceled with no make-up game. (3) Zhejiang Zhiye win resolves Yes if Zhejiang wins, No otherwise or if canceled. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Primary source: CSL-China.com official statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours of match end.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets all resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs (Qingdao win, Zhejiang win, or Tie). Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation and postponement logic is not explicitly defined. No primary source specified; resolution source is implicit.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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