TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 2:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong will advance against Koki Matsuda in their Zhangjiagang tennis match, resolving based on the official results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to Leong (-1.5) winning against Matsuda (+1.5). The match is originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET, so traders should watch for confirmation of the match proceeding as planned on that date to assess the likelihood of resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong and Koki Matsuda in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong' if Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular player winning. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhangjiagang tennis match between Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong and Koki Matsuda. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the odds, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.