TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Ilia Simakin in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasidit Samrej and Ilia Simakin in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Kasidit Samrej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a larger sample size of opinions represented in the prediction market. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the speed of sportsbook line movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kasidit Samrej vs Ilia Simakin match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, creating a dynamic and informative pricing signal.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasidit Samrej vs Ilia Simakin match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also trigger significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in broader public sentiment could also contribute to volatility in this market.