TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 3:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Joshua Charlton will advance against Takuya Kumasaka in the Zhangjiagang, China, Qualifying match. On Polymarket, the current probability for Joshua Charlton to advance stands at 100%, with the second outcome, the completed match result, also at 100%, according to https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joshua Charlton and Takuya Kumasaka in the Zhangjiagang, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joshua Charlton' if Joshua Charlton advances against Takuya Kumasaka. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Joshua Charlton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official declaration of the fight’s outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined contracts. As long as the fight occurs on schedule and the result is publicly confirmed, the market will settle automatically based on that verified result.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including pre-fight media coverage, trainer updates, or changes in fighter rankings. Injuries, weight-miss announcements, or last-minute substitutions would also dramatically affect pricing. Additionally, significant betting trends or large trades on Polymarket can cause rapid price swings, especially as the event draws nearer. Public sentiment and expert analysis released in the final weeks often drive most of the movement.