TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 2:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Fajing Sun in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Fajing Sun. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Fajing Sun in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Fajing Sun. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Tseng vs Sun match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tseng vs Sun match, as reported by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market significantly.