TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 1:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bernard Tomic will complete the match against Masamichi Imamura in Zhangjiagang. On Polymarket, the current probability that the match will be completed is 100%, with the alternative outcome — that it will not be completed — at 97.0%. Resolution will be based on official results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match window closes on 2026-09-07, and this is the date to watch for confirmation of whether the match was completed.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernard Tomic and Masamichi Imamura in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Masamichi Imamura. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura' if Masamichi Imamura advances against Bernard Tomic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, the odds here are set by trader sentiment and can shift more dynamically based on real-time news, player form, or weather updates. Traders might see divergence, especially if new information emerges that isn’t fully priced into sportsbook odds yet.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official match records, ensuring alignment with what actually transpires in the contest. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming the final score from trusted sources.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 7, 2026. Key player injuries, changes to the match schedule, or significant performance updates from recent matches may all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or venue-specific news could also affect expectations. As the event draws closer, any public statements from the athletes or their teams might further sway the market.