TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 1:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Ilya Ivashka in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Ilya Ivashka in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated wisdom of crowd predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion about the likely outcome of the Santillan vs Ivashka match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the collective forecast of those participating in the market for the Santillan vs Ivashka match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Santillan vs Ivashka match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as that will be the basis for determining the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, though these are often corrected by the broader market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities surrounding the Santillan vs Ivashka match.