TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Zeu5 Esports and SDM Tigres compete in the first map of their League of Legends match scheduled for July 18, 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard competitive League of Legends rules.
Resolution depends on the outcome of map 1 in the specified LRN 2026 match. If the map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, or if the match or map is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in that map, the market resolves to fair market price. However, if a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. This market's odds may move faster or reflect less conventional wisdom than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the match. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the spread between the best buy and sell orders at any moment. As traders update their positions based on team performance, roster updates, or match conditions, the price adjusts in real time. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the first map of the Zeu5 versus SDM Tigres match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins Map 1 under the official tournament or league rules governing the event. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends, pending confirmation from the event organizer or broadcast. Traders should monitor official announcements to confirm the final result.
Several factors could shift odds before this market resolves. Roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements for either team can trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and map-specific performance data often influence trader sentiment. Pre-match interviews, coach statements, or leaked practice footage may also sway expectations. Closer to the event, betting syndicates and professional traders often adjust positions based on refined analysis, creating volatility in the final hours.