TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Zalgiris Vilnius and Hajduk. The focus is on determining whether the winning team achieves a decisive victory by exceeding specific goal differentials. Results are judged solely on regular time performance, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple outcome scenarios for the Zalgiris Vilnius versus Hajduk Conference League match scheduled for August 6, 2026. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are disregarded. Four distinct criteria are assessed: Zalgiris Vilnius must win by more than 2.5 goals, Zalgiris Vilnius must win by more than 1.5 goals, Hajduk must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Hajduk must win by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion operates independently, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for any individual rule that is satisfied according to its specific threshold. The event explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and upcoming events than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and adjustments, prediction markets let participants directly bet on outcomes, sometimes leading to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on new information or shifts in trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the spread favors Zalgiris Vilnius or Hajduk, and the market will settle accordingly based on that result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant news such as weather conditions affecting the match or lineup announcements may cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to new information before the game.