TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketball
Volume:
$259,444
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 17 at 1:00PM ET: If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Zalgiris win OR Paris win), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage or total loss scenario depending on market mechanics.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it promises Yes resolution regardless of which team wins. On Polymarket, the market is standard and resolvable: bet Zalgiris for a Zalgiris win, or Paris for a Paris win. Kalshi's market should be flagged for immediate cancellation or correction by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports market with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to 'Zalgiris Kaunas' if Zalgiris wins, 'Paris Basketball' if Paris wins. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: 'If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to Zalgiris Kaunas. If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to Paris Basketball.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution: states 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Paris Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), violating binary market logic. Quote: 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Paris Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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