TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai
Volume:
$353,837
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 1:00PM ET: If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable: both outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas wins OR Dubai Basketball wins) resolve to Yes, leaving no path to a No resolution. Polymarket correctly structures the market with mutually exclusive outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai) and includes postponement and cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The platform's rule set is logically broken — it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket is the only tradeable version with proper binary logic and clear settlement rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error where both possible outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas wins OR Dubai Basketball wins) are mapped to Yes resolution, with no defined No outcome. The rules state 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Dubai Basketball wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a tautology that violates binary market structure.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary market logic: Resolves to 'Zalgiris Kaunas' if Zalgiris wins, 'BC Dubai' if Dubai wins, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). The market uses mutually exclusive outcomes sourced from Euroleague Basketball official records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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