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Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai
kalshi
polymarket

Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai

Volume:
$353,837

Dubai Basketball

 - Kalshi

Dubai Basketball - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dubai Basketball

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$163,448
N/A
N/A
$103,661
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BC Zalgiris Kaunas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,988
N/A
N/A
$98,332
Settled
No
polymarket

Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 1:00PM ET: If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable: both outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas wins OR Dubai Basketball wins) resolve to Yes, leaving no path to a No resolution. Polymarket correctly structures the market with mutually exclusive outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai) and includes postponement and cancellation rules.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The platform's rule set is logically broken — it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket is the only tradeable version with proper binary logic and clear settlement rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error where both possible outcomes (Zalgiris Kaunas wins OR Dubai Basketball wins) are mapped to Yes resolution, with no defined No outcome. The rules state 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Dubai Basketball wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a tautology that violates binary market structure.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary market logic: Resolves to 'Zalgiris Kaunas' if Zalgiris wins, 'BC Dubai' if Dubai wins, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). The market uses mutually exclusive outcomes sourced from Euroleague Basketball official records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.