TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Euroleague basketball game between BC Zalgiris Kaunas and FC Barcelona scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with specific provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction that makes it fundamentally unresolvable: both outcomes (Barcelona win and Zalgiris win) resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team wins and the market resolves to that team's name, with explicit handling for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market for this event—it is logically broken and cannot settle properly. Use Polymarket instead, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes: Zalgiris Kaunas, Barcelona, or 50-50 (cancellation only). If you hold Kalshi YES, expect resolution disputes or platform intervention.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market resolves YES if Barcelona wins AND YES if Zalgiris wins, creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution. This violates binary market structure and leaves no valid path to NO. Key quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Standard binary logic: Market resolves to 'Zalgiris Kaunas' if Zalgiris wins, 'Barcelona' if Barcelona wins, with explicit edge-case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to Zalgiris Kaunas. If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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