TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 8:51 AM EST
Kalshi
Zachary Svajda and Liam Broady compete in the second set of their professional tennis match during the 2026 ATP London Qualification Round 1 on June 14. The market determines which player wins this individual set.
Resolution depends on which player wins set 2 of the match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accurate forecasting. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants betting real money on the outcome, which can reveal insights sportsbooks may not immediately reflect. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual probabilities, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the consensus probability among active traders. As new information surfaces—such as player form, injury reports, or court conditions—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations about who will win the second set.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the Svajda vs Broady match is complete and the second set result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the second set during the actual match. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data can influence trader sentiment. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and scheduling changes may also impact expectations. Additionally, betting activity from informed participants or public sentiment shifts can drive price movement. Monitoring player news and pre-match commentary will help you anticipate how this market might evolve.