TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It tracks the performance of the athletes in a head-to-head competition, reflecting the competitive balance between them during that particular set.
The market resolves based on which player wins the second set of the designated 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 match between Zachary Svajda and Daniel Altmaier. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays allow the market to remain open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for closure. In cases of retirement during the match, markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the second set will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly. No further trading will occur after the resolution date, and the final price will reflect the actual event outcome.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles, including player injuries, changes in form or strategy during the match, weather conditions affecting play, and key breaks or service holds in the second set. Any unexpected developments that impact the players' performance or the match flow can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and market pricing as they reassess the probabilities.