TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Yunnan Yukun FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Yunnan Yukun FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional proprietary data or sharp action that prediction markets lag. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of capital deployed across outcome options; as more traders buy one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability increases. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence price stability and slippage. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price at resolution is determined by the outcome verified against credible public sources reporting the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the match between Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the second half only, independent of the first half. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the league or match authority, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes. Traders should monitor official match updates and sports news sources to track developments leading up to settlement.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before the match concludes. Team news such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes can alter perceived second-half performance. Weather conditions, venue factors, and first-half momentum may influence trader expectations for the second half specifically. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can trigger rapid repricing. Live match developments—such as a red card, early goals, or tactical adjustments during the first half—often prompt traders to reassess second-half probabilities. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also sway retail participation and move prices.