TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, incorporating their own margins. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through open order books, often reflecting longer-term consensus on event outcomes. In this market, traders may price exact scores differently than traditional bookmakers, especially as match day approaches and new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers' positioning.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share in a specific scoreline outcome trades at a price reflecting its implied probability; as traders buy or sell, the price adjusts algorithmically to maintain liquidity. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction around a particular result. Prices update in real time, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates market tightness and liquidity depth for that outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Yunnan Yukun versus Shanghai Haigang match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue can also influence trader expectations around scoring patterns. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or venue issues may cause rapid probability swings. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts will drive continuous repricing of remaining outcomes.