TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Yunnan Yukun FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yunnan Yukun FC" if Yunnan Yukun FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Yunnan Yukun FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts specialized soccer analysts or if sharp money concentrates on one platform. Comparing both sources can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist, though each reflects genuine market expectations at the time of observation.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, with each outcome represented as a tradeable share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects strong conviction toward one outcome, visible in the probability distribution across available options. Prices adjust dynamically as new trades execute, meaning early movers and late traders face different entry points. Liquidity depth determines how much volume can move the odds, so periods of high activity may show sharper price swings than quieter intervals.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the second-half result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result recorded by the league or governing body overseeing the fixture. Resolution occurs after all regulatory and administrative confirmation steps are complete, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match reports to anticipate the final determination.
Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can shift odds significantly. First-half performance directly influences second-half expectations, as scorelines, tactical adjustments, and player fatigue become visible. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and momentum swings during live play all trigger real-time repricing. Major goals, red cards, or substitutions in the opening 45 minutes often cause sharp probability movements as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome. Late-breaking roster updates or venue-specific factors may also prompt notable adjustments to this market's price.