TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. In this market, prediction market participants are betting their own money on the exact scoreline, creating a direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. Sportsbooks, by contrast, may shade lines based on public betting patterns or risk management concerns. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated strong accuracy on sports outcomes, particularly when liquidity is robust. Comparing the two can reveal where professional and casual opinion diverge on the likelihood of specific scorelines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact scoreline outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying and selling pressure directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects a modest probability, indicating meaningful uncertainty across the full range of possible results. As match day approaches, prices typically tighten and shift based on team news, injury reports, and betting flow. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your trades immediately affect the odds available to the next participant. This continuous price discovery process ensures that this market remains responsive to new information and reflects the real-time consensus of active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the match between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC has been played and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering the event. No overtime or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution. Traders should monitor official team announcements and sports news outlets as the event date approaches to stay informed on any scheduling changes or other developments that might affect timing. Once the match concludes and the score is publicly verified, the market will settle automatically to the correct scoreline.
Several factors typically influence exact score predictions in the lead-up to a match. Team injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can significantly shift odds, especially if key players become unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all inform trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also matter for a lower-scoring or higher-scoring outcome. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can cause rapid repricing across multiple scorelines. Late-breaking tactical announcements from either team's coaching staff can trigger volatility. As match day draws closer, this market typically sees increased trading volume and tighter spreads, reflecting heightened confidence among traders who have done deeper analysis.