TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC?

Volume:
$773,385

GameYunnan Yukun

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 10:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

GameYunnan Yukun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153,608
N/A
N/A
$80,851
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yunnan Yukun FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$121,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Henan FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$249,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

GameHenan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$121,058
N/A
N/A
$71,191
Settled
No
kalshi

GameTie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,026
N/A
N/A
$33,452
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Chinese Super League soccer match between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows Yunnan Yukun FC winning at 100.0%, with Henan FC winning at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official China Super League website based on the result after 90 minutes of play. Watch for the match kickoff on July 3, 2026, when the actual game result will settle these predictions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation outcome divergence between Polymarket Draw (resolves YES on cancellation) and Polymarket Win markets (resolve NO on cancellation). Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Traders should note that a full cancellation scenario creates asymmetric payoffs across platforms. Polymarket Draw bettors benefit from cancellation while Win bettors lose. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language introduces settlement uncertainty. Confirm with Kalshi whether cancellation defaults to a specific outcome or market voiding before placing large positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Yunnan Win, Draw, Henan Win). Draw market uniquely resolves YES if canceled with no make-up game, while both Win markets resolve NO in the same scenario. All markets remain open if postponed. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' while Win markets state 'this market will resolve to No'.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Yunnan Win, Henan Win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Market structure implies one outcome must occur but does not address postponement or cancellation scenarios. Key Quote: Market lists only three resolution conditions with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Friday, July 3, 2026 between Yunnan Yukun FC and Henan FC.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Yunnan Yukun and Henan originally scheduled for July 3, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Three separate markets resolve based on the outcome: one for a Yunnan Yukun victory, one for a Henan victory, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often reflects sharper, less-padded probabilities than retail sportsbooks. Sportsbooks build in juice (margin) to guarantee profit; prediction markets distribute that spread among participants. For this match, comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one side is undervalued, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary by region and event.

On Polymarket, traders set odds through continuous order books, while Kalshi uses a different matching mechanism and user base. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences arise from timing lags, regional trader concentration, platform fee structures, and varying levels of sports expertise among participants. One platform may attract more casual bettors, skewing odds; the other may draw sharper predictors. Liquidity depth also matters—lower volume on one venue can amplify price swings from single large trades, creating temporary gaps that arbitrageurs may exploit.

Key catalysts include team injury announcements, lineup changes, recent form shifts, and head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and late-breaking tactical news can also shift trader sentiment. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one outcome often precede significant price moves. Monitor official team social media, league injury reports, and expert analysis in the days before kickoff—sudden volume spikes or odds swings often signal new information entering the market.