TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Ypiranga and Ferroviaria. It focuses on the difference in goals scored by the two teams at the end of regular time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers multiple scenarios depending on which team wins and by how many goals.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios for the Ypiranga vs Ferroviaria Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The first scenario resolves to Yes if Ypiranga secures a victory by more than two goals (i.e., a three-goal or greater margin). The second scenario resolves to Yes if Ypiranga wins by more than one goal (i.e., two or more goals). Conversely, the third scenario resolves to Yes if Ferroviaria achieves a win by more than one goal, and the fourth scenario resolves to Yes if Ferroviaria's victory margin exceeds two goals. Each rule operates independently, allowing for potential overlap depending on the actual match result. The rules explicitly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price probabilities. While sportsbooks set their lines based on sharp handicappers and commission structures, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to tighter spreads or different favorites depending on recent momentum and public sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the match determines the result, closing the market based on the actual performance of the teams.
Injuries, weather updates, and tactical changes leading up to Aug 24, 2026 could shift this market. Key moments like player suspensions or unexpected lineup decisions may alter perceptions of the likely point spread. Media analysis and expert commentary in the days before the game often drive short-term price swings as traders adjust their expectations on Kalshi based on new information.