TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 17, 2026
Closed: Aug 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The weekly YouTube charts track the most viewed songs over a specific period, reflecting viewer preferences and trends. Each song competes to achieve the top position on these charts, indicating widespread popularity and engagement during that time.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified song is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart for the week dated August 7 - August 13, 2026. All markets are independent, and the outcome depends solely on YouTube's official chart rankings for that week. None of the markets have endorsement from YouTube, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Analyst forecasts often highlight early momentum or genre trends, while this market reflects real-time trader sentiment. The two can diverge when unexpected viral moments occur, or when analysts underestimate audience engagement spikes. Traders may price in shorter-term performance indicators that aren’t captured in longer-term industry reports. This creates moments where this market’s implied probability differs noticeably from consensus analyst views.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously update the probability based on real-time trading activity and order flow. The current top outcome’s implied chance reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusted for market depth and liquidity. Volume of $620 shows how much has traded, while recent 24-hour volume of $0 indicates current interest. Prices adjust instantly to new information about viewer behavior and chart performance.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official weekly top song chart for the United States on YouTube for that specific week.
Key signals include sudden spikes in view counts for specific songs, major playlist placements, celebrity endorsements, or controversies surrounding top charting tracks. Weekly YouTube chart updates, shifts in genre popularity, and cross-platform promotions can also shift trader sentiment. Any event that dramatically changes U.S. user listening habits in the final days before Aug 14, 2026 may cause rapid probability adjustments in this market.
