TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The global YouTube Top Songs chart highlights the most popular tracks worldwide, capturing cross-cultural musical trends and international artist reach. It aggregates streaming data from all regions to determine the most universally loved songs during the specified week.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified song is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week dated Oct 2 - Oct 8, 2026. All markets are independent, with no endorsement from YouTube, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the YouTube music chart. While analysts often rely on streaming numbers and social media buzz, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies or the incorporation of information not readily available to analysts. It's interesting to see how the market's assessment evolves as new data emerges, potentially signaling shifts in public sentiment and chart performance.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official YouTube music chart is published and the top song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the song listed at the number one position on the weekly global chart as reported by YouTube. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the official chart result. The market’s outcome will reflect the official data released by YouTube.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could rapidly boost a song's popularity, shifting trader sentiment. Major artist endorsements or performances could also drive increased streams. Furthermore, the release of highly anticipated new songs from popular artists could disrupt the existing chart hierarchy. Any significant changes in streaming numbers, social media engagement, or artist activity are likely to cause fluctuations in the odds within this market.