TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 20, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which song achieves the highest position on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for a specific week in 2026. It reflects the competitive nature of global music streaming popularity over a defined period.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any of the specified songs achieves the #1 position on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week dated September 11 to September 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different song, and the outcome for each market is binary—resolving to 'Yes' if that particular song ranks #1, and 'No' otherwise. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The focus remains solely on chart performance metrics for the specified week.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's important to note that analyst forecasts for the YouTube music chart are often based on streaming numbers and social media trends, which can be incomplete or biased. This market offers a different perspective, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd and reflecting a broader range of factors. While analysts may predict a certain song will perform well, the prediction market odds represent the collective belief of traders, potentially identifying under- or overvalued outcomes. Comparing these two viewpoints can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential chart performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different songs topping the chart at prices determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular song, its price increases, indicating a higher probability of it reaching the top spot. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that song’s chances. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their own beliefs and the market price.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official YouTube music chart is published and the top song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the song listed at the number one position on the weekly global chart released by YouTube. Traders who hold contracts for the winning song will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other songs will not. The market’s resolution is tied directly to the official chart data released by YouTube.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could boost a song’s popularity, increasing demand for its corresponding contract. Major artist endorsements or collaborations could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, new album releases or promotional campaigns from artists with songs currently in contention could influence trading activity. Any significant changes in streaming numbers or social media engagement are likely to be reflected in the price of contracts within this market, potentially leading to substantial shifts in probabilities.
