TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which song achieves the highest position on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the specific week of August 14 to August 20, 2026. Participants speculate on whether particular songs will claim the top spot during that period.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the week dated August 14 to August 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that song is ranked #1 on the chart for the specified week. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Importantly, these markets and related products are not endorsed by YouTube; any references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. The chart data serves as the sole basis for resolution, with no additional qualifications or adjustments applied.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of active traders, incorporating real-time data and sentiment. This market's odds may diverge from expert predictions due to rapid changes in viewer behavior, viral trends, or surprise releases. While analysts offer curated opinions, traders in this market continuously adjust positions based on evolving dynamics, often leading to sharper or more volatile probability estimates.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning song is determined by official YouTube chart data for that week, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process based on real-world results.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Major developments in global streaming numbers, especially from YouTube’s official reports, will directly impact expectations. Viral moments—such as celebrity endorsements or social media trends—might rapidly alter popularity. Contenders gaining momentum through playlists, music videos, or cross-platform promotion could also reshape the leaderboard. Conversely, technical issues or regional outages may temporarily depress a song’s performance. Any surprise releases or chart rule changes announced by YouTube would likewise affect market probabilities as traders reassess competitive dynamics.
