TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which podcast claims the top spot on YouTube's Weekly Top Podcast Shows USA chart for the specific week of July 27 to August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different podcast, and the outcome depends solely on YouTube's official ranking data for that period.
This event determines the weekly #1 ranked podcast on YouTube's Weekly Top Podcast Shows USA chart for the week dated July 27, 2026, through August 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific podcast, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if that particular podcast occupies the top position on the chart for the specified week. The chart ranking is based solely on YouTube's official data for that timeframe. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. No endorsement or affiliation with YouTube is implied; references to YouTube are used descriptively only.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may incorporate longer-term trends and historical performance, while traders on Kalshi respond quickly to fresh data, social media buzz, and weekly chart releases. This can lead to divergence when rapid changes occur, as the market price adjusts faster than traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning show will be the one that appears in the top position on the official YouTube Charts for podcasts in the United States for that specific week, as reported by trusted, widely recognized sources.
Key signals that could shift this market include major podcast releases, celebrity endorsements, viral social media trends, changes in listener behavior due to seasonal factors, and any significant news coverage surrounding leading shows. Unexpected chart updates or technical changes to YouTube’s ranking methodology could also cause rapid movements in odds as traders reassess probabilities.