TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:18 PM EST
Kalshi
In the college football matchup between Youngstown State and Kentucky, bettors can predict which team will score the first touchdown. The outcome depends purely on the initial scoring play, with all types of touchdowns counted, regardless of when they occur in the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Youngstown State vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. All touchdowns count, including those scored offensively, defensively, or on special teams, and those occurring in overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the market titled 'No team scores a TD' resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique betting dynamics and the inclusion of market-specific factors not always considered by sportsbooks. Traders may price in variables like recent performance trends or injury updates more aggressively. The contrast can provide insight into where public perception diverges from standard betting odds. Observing both sides helps identify potential value shifts as the game approaches.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the first TD scorer market through continuous trading. The current probability reflects aggregated expectations based on available data up to Sep 5, 2026. Volume of $299 indicates market interest, while recent shifts in $289 24-hour volume can signal emerging trends. This pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments as new information influences trader behavior.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to score a touchdown in the live game determines the result, and the market settles based on official game records and widely accepted sports news sources.
Key performances in the days leading to Sep 5, 2026 will heavily influence this market. Injuries, lineup changes, or strategic adjustments by either team’s coaching staff could shift probabilities dramatically. Quarterback efficiency, defensive vulnerabilities, and special teams play-calling trends are critical watch points. Any last-minute roster updates or weather conditions impacting game dynamics may also cause rapid market adjustments as traders reassess likely outcomes.