TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
How many views will YoungBoy get on Sep 27, 2026?
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 28, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the artist YoungBoy Never Broke Again on a specific date, focusing on the global reach of their content. It measures how many people watched their videos around the world in a single day, reflecting audience engagement and popularity. The outcome depends on whether this view count surpasses certain thresholds.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether YoungBoy Never Broke Again achieves specific global daily view milestones on YouTube for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location and values displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement from YouTube. The resolution of each market is binary: 'Yes' if the specified threshold is met, 'No' otherwise.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for video views. Traditional analyst predictions often rely on historical data and genre trends, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are considering a wider range of factors, including social media buzz, promotional activities, and potential viral moments. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and access to information. However, observing how this market evolves can offer a unique perspective on expectations surrounding YoungBoy’s video performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different view count ranges for YoungBoy’s video. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the video’s potential viewership. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating to incorporate new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for YoungBoy’s video released on September 27, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available view count data from the official source, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the final, verified view count.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major promotional campaigns announced by YoungBoy or his label would likely increase expectations and drive up prices for higher view count outcomes. Unexpected collaborations or features with other popular artists could also generate substantial buzz. Conversely, negative publicity or controversies surrounding YoungBoy could dampen enthusiasm and lower prices. Shifts in social media trends and the overall popularity of his music genre could also influence trading activity in this market.
