TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Vol.
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Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the artist YoungBoy Never Broke Again on a specific date, focusing on the number of global daily views his content receives on a major video platform. The outcome depends on whether view counts surpass certain thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and reach.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether YoungBoy Never Broke Again achieves specific milestones in global daily YouTube views on September 16, 2026, across multiple sequential thresholds from 5 million to 12 million views. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts, selecting “Global” as the location and will resolve based on values displayed from a New York IP address. Each threshold represents an independent market; if the view count exceeds a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, regardless of performance relative to other thresholds. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, biases, or access to unique data. If analysts predict a certain range of views, the market’s pricing will show whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment, offering a distinct view on the likely outcome of YoungBoy’s viewership.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, influenced by news, social media trends, and overall trader sentiment regarding YoungBoy's popularity and potential viewership. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments to expectations as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final view count for YoungBoy’s video on September 16, 2026, will be the determining factor. The platform will rely on publicly available data to verify the official view count, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual view count will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding YoungBoy’s music or public appearances, viral social media trends featuring his content, and overall shifts in music industry popularity could all influence trading activity. Unexpected collaborations or controversies surrounding the artist could also cause substantial price fluctuations. Furthermore, changes in platform algorithms impacting video visibility or broader trends in online video consumption could also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory leading up to Sep 20, 2026.
