TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube views on a specific date, reflecting audience engagement through daily view counts. The outcome depends on whether the views surpass certain thresholds, offering multiple benchmarks to assess the scale of interest.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether YoungBoy Never Broke Again achieves specified global daily YouTube view thresholds on September 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. View counts are determined using YouTube Charts with 'Global' selected as the location and will be resolved using values displayed from a New York IP address. These markets and products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are for descriptive purposes only, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for YoungBoy’s viewership. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst predictions. If analysts predict a significant increase in YoungBoy’s popularity leading up to September 2026, we might see the odds of exceeding 6 million views rise in this market. Conversely, pessimistic forecasts could lead to a decline in those odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether YoungBoy Never Broke Again will surpass 6 million daily views on September 15, 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the outcome will occur, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on publicly available data regarding YoungBoy Never Broke Again’s daily views on September 15, 2026. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether his views exceeded 6 million, as determined by these publicly available figures. Traders will then be paid out or required to pay based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact the YoungBoy views market. Major album releases, viral social media moments, or high-profile collaborations could all drive increased viewership. Conversely, controversies or a decline in YoungBoy’s musical output could lead to lower views. Shifts in broader music streaming trends or changes to social media algorithms could also play a role. Any news or events that substantially alter public perception of YoungBoy’s popularity are likely to move the odds in this market.
