TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 14, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the potential popularity of YoungBoy Never Broke Again's YouTube content on a specific date, measuring how many global daily views his videos might attract. The outcome depends on whether view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and content reach.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the total global daily views YoungBoy Never Broke Again receives on YouTube for September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views). If the view count exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. While view counts can vary by geographic location, the New York IP standardization provides a uniform measurement approach. It is important to note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube data are for descriptive purposes only, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially incorporating a wider range of information than individual analysts consider. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. If analysts predict a significantly different outcome than what’s reflected in the odds on Kalshi, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders, or highlight a fundamental disagreement about the likely result. It’s important to remember that both approaches have limitations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of outstanding buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final view count for YoungBoy’s video on September 13, 2026, will be used to determine the result. The platform will verify the data against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market prices at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, relying on publicly available information.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding YoungBoy’s promotional activities, collaborations, or potential controversies could influence viewership. Unexpected trends in music streaming or social media engagement could also play a role. A major platform update on the video-hosting site could affect how views are counted or displayed. Shifts in public sentiment towards the artist, or the release of competing content from other artists, could also move the market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.
