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you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: Most streamed song by Jun 19, 2026?
kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: Most streamed song by Jun 19, 2026?

Volume:
$18,084

stupid song

 - Kalshi

stupid song - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

Closed: Jun 19, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

stupid song

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,993
N/A
N/A
$2,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

begged

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,781
N/A
N/A
$3,195
Settled
No
kalshi

expectations

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,219
Settled
No
kalshi

maggots for brains

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$1,305
Settled
No
kalshi

cigarette smoke

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,267
N/A
N/A
$1,258
Settled
No
kalshi

less

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$1,258
Settled
No
kalshi

purple

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$1,167
Settled
No
kalshi

u + me =<3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
$1,155
Settled
No
kalshi

what's wrong with me (feat. Robert Smith)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,172
N/A
N/A
$1,164
Settled
No
kalshi

honeybee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
kalshi

my way

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event determines which song from Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' will have accumulated the most streams on Spotify by a specific deadline, excluding two particular tracks. The winner is identified by checking Spotify's stream counts at a precise moment in time.

Kalshi

On June 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the total stream count for each eligible song on Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' will be determined using the Spotify desktop app. The eligible songs exclude 'drop dead' and 'the cure'. Whichever eligible song displays the highest total stream count at that exact moment will be the resolution outcome. Stream counts are frozen at 10:00 AM ET; any updates or changes occurring after that time will not be considered. The measurement is taken from a single snapshot of the Spotify desktop app at the specified time, ensuring a definitive and objective determination of the most-streamed track among the qualifying songs.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the most streamed song market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for which track from the album will become the most streamed by the deadline. The interface displays current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume via $11, and cumulative volume of $18,084 across all participants. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment as new streaming data emerges and market participants update their positions based on chart performance and listener engagement signals.

Prediction market odds aggregate real-time trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live streaming metrics, social media momentum, and radio airplay trends that analysts may lag in capturing. While music industry analysts rely on historical patterns and label promotion data, this market reflects continuous updates from participants who monitor Spotify, Apple Music, and YouTube charts daily. The crowd-sourced nature of prediction markets can surface emerging consensus faster than periodic analyst reports, though both sources offer complementary perspectives on which song will ultimately lead.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the final streaming figures are verifiable from credible public sources. The winning song is determined by total streams accumulated across major platforms by the resolution deadline. Once the data is published and verified, the market settles automatically, and traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout. Until that moment, positions remain open and prices continue to fluctuate based on incoming information.

Major streaming milestones, playlist placements on Spotify's top editorial playlists, and viral social media moments can all shift trader conviction significantly. Chart debuts, radio rotation announcements, and surprise performance appearances generate listener spikes that move streaming counts. Additionally, competitor releases or unexpected chart performance from other tracks on the album may redirect listener attention. Real-time streaming data releases, award show performances, and music video releases are key catalysts traders monitor closely when adjusting their positions leading up to the deadline.