TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
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2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Time left: 04d:09h:20m
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This market tracks whether the film *You Can See Everything* will achieve a Tomatometer score above 45% on Rotten Tomatoes. Currently, the probability of this occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the Tomatometer score reported by Rotten Tomatoes, as defined in the resolution rules. Keep an eye on the film’s critical reception as the resolution date of October 19, 2026 approaches, as that is when the Tomatometer score will be assessed to determine market settlement.
Multiple markets assess whether the film "You Can See Everything" attains specific Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score thresholds by October 19, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market defines a unique score threshold; if the film's score exceeds the specified value on the determination date—the Monday following wide release—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Scores must strictly surpass the threshold (e.g., a score of 75 does not satisfy the "Above 75" market). All markets are determined simultaneously based on the same final Tomatometer score, and none imply endorsement by Rotten Tomatoes, which is referenced descriptively only.
Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a different perspective than many pre-release analyst forecasts. While some analysts predicted a score in the 60-70% range, the price action here suggests a wider range of potential outcomes are being considered. This market aggregates diverse opinions, potentially identifying overlooked factors or nuances that traditional analysis might miss. It’s important to remember that analyst predictions are often based on limited information and subjective interpretations, whereas this market reflects real-money stakes and continuous updating of beliefs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the current price. The price represents the probability of the Rotten Tomatoes score falling within a specific range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded and inaccurate ones are penalized. The market's depth and liquidity, reflected in the trading volume, contribute to the price discovery process, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final Rotten Tomatoes score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the percentage of positive reviews received by the film, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes. Traders will then be able to see whether their predictions aligned with the actual critical reception. The market’s resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Early reviews from film festivals or critics screenings will likely have a substantial impact, as they provide initial indicators of the film's reception. Any major publicity events, such as premieres or interviews with the director and cast, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected controversies or positive word-of-mouth campaigns could further move the market. Shifts in broader public opinion regarding the film’s genre or themes might also play a role in how traders adjust their positions in this market.