TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between York City FC and Crawley Town FC, scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "York City FC" if York City FC score more goals than Crawley Town FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if York City FC and Crawley Town FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Crawley Town FC" if Crawley Town FC score more goals than York City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between York City FC and Crawley Town FC, scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "York City FC" if York City FC score more goals than Crawley Town FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if York City FC and Crawley Town FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Crawley Town FC" if Crawley Town FC score more goals than York City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders who have financial skin in the game. In this market, prediction market participants may price outcomes differently than sportsbooks, particularly if they possess specialized knowledge about team form, injuries, or tactical matchups. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares outstanding for each result, with prices adjusting dynamically as traders transact. Higher prices indicate greater market confidence in that outcome. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and the pricing mechanism ensures that the market continuously incorporates new information and trading activity throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score at the end of the second half, with the winning team, draw, or other specified result confirmed through official match records. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for the result to be publicly documented and verified. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any official announcements to ensure they understand the exact timing and conditions.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff often trigger significant repricing. Early match events—goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments during the first half—provide concrete information that traders incorporate into their second half forecasts. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and momentum swings during live play can also influence expectations. Additionally, betting syndicates or sharp traders entering with large positions may move prices if they perceive value relative to consensus, signaling new information or contrarian conviction.