TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
In this matchup, participants gauge whether the winning team will cover various run differentials. The contest's outcome hinges on each team's ability to manage both offense and defense under pressure.
Markets resolve to Yes if Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or if Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs in their Japan NPB game scheduled for August 20, 2026, at 4:45 AM EDT. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuanced factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as starting pitcher performance or weather conditions. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals who incorporate broader historical data and public betting patterns. This market’s pricing can therefore offer a distinct perspective, potentially highlighting under-valued or over-valued aspects of the matchup that sportsbooks might not emphasize as strongly.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score, which will decide whether the spread favors one team over the other as defined in this market.