TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$929,002

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 3:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$351,820
N/A
N/A
$176,812
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$560,973
N/A
N/A
$347,112
Settled
No
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Yokohama BayStars scheduled for August 2, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 60.0%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from https://npb.jp/. Watch for the game result on August 2, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch where Kalshi's binary 'Yes' resolution contradicts Polymarket's team-specific outcomes, creating unresolvable conflict if one platform resolves before the otherHero tip: Do not trade Kalshi market until platform clarifies resolution logic to match Polymarket's team-based outcome structure. Polymarket provides proper settlement framework.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name ('Yomiuri Giants' or 'Yokohama BayStars') or 50-50 for ties/cancellations - Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team win with no distinction between outcomes - Quote: 'If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins... market resolves to Yes. If Yomiuri Giants wins... market resolves to Yes'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 2 at 1:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yomiuri Giants wins the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Giants vs. BayStars matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence. It displays cumulative volume of $929,002 and 24-hour volume of $923,496, alongside platform-specific probabilities. This view lets participants see how Polymarket and Kalshi price the contest differently, highlighting where trader sentiment aligns or splits as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differing user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its probability toward a specific team, while the other could reflect international or broader betting trends. Additionally, each venue’s fee structure and order-book depth influence how prices discover equilibrium, leading to visible gaps between the two.