TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$147,738

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 7:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,850
N/A
N/A
$37,962
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79,163
N/A
N/A
$65,062
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows. The markets differ in how they handle wins, ties, and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / SKU RiskHero tip: Be cautious with Kalshi as it treats any game completion as a Yes, while Polymarket requires specific outcomes and handles cancellations differently. Consider the risk of the game being postponed or canceled when trading these markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game scheduled for Aug 7, 2026. Key Quote: If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Yomiuri Giants wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yomiuri Giants or Tokyo Yakult Swallows depending on the winner. Remains open if postponed, resolves 50-50 if canceled or tied. Key Quote: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to Yomiuri Giants... If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 9 at 1:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yomiuri Giants wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Giants vs. Swallows matchup market aggregates real-time data across platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team winning based on current information. It displays volume of $147,738 and 24-hour volume of $125,768, letting you see consensus views and divergences between venues like Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives a live snapshot of market sentiment around this market.

Key signals include starting lineups, pitcher rotations, and injury updates that could affect team performance. Weather conditions impacting play, mid-game scoring swings, and managerial decisions may also shift probabilities. Bettor sentiment and trading volume spikes on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect these real-time developments, driving price adjustments as the contest approaches.