TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Yomiuri Giants and Hiroshima Toyo Carp in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the specified college baseball game. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome—resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs exceed the stated threshold of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and date, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual game result, with each threshold providing a progressively stricter condition for a 'Yes' outcome.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than a set line created by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may set a fixed total runs line with a small margin for the house, prediction markets let participants bet directly on probabilities, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on new information like pitcher changes or weather updates.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored during the game will be the decisive factor, reflecting the combined performance of both teams from the first pitch to the final out, and will be settled according to publicly available box scores.
Injuries to key hitters or pitchers, weather delays affecting game length or scoring opportunities, and strategic decisions by managers — such as bullpen usage or aggressive base running — could all shift this market. Additionally, any last-minute lineup changes or umpire rulings that impact scoring potential may cause traders to adjust their positions in the closing days before Aug 5, 2026.