TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 4:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in a scheduled match, focusing on the margin of victory. Outcomes are determined by how many runs separate the winning and losing teams at the end of the game. The event provides different criteria for resolution based on the size of the winning margin for each team.
The event covers a baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, scheduled for September 23, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated based on the run differential between the teams. If Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, one outcome resolves affirmatively. Conversely, if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, another outcome resolves affirmatively. The rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the final score differential, with no additional conditions affecting the outcomes beyond the stated run margins.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the expected result of the Yomiuri Giants versus Hiroshima Toyo Carp spread.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Yomiuri Giants versus Hiroshima Toyo Carp game. The market will determine whether the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by over 1.5 runs, as defined by the game’s official results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Yomiuri Giants or Hiroshima Toyo Carp would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in pitching rotations or unexpected weather conditions impacting the game could also move the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment or analysis from baseball experts could influence trader behavior. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market regarding the spread of the game.