TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and Hiroshima Toyo Carp, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams at the end of the scheduled match. Participants are assessing the likelihood of a decisive win for either side.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the Yomiuri Giants versus Hiroshima Toyo Carp game scheduled for September 6, 2026. Four distinct markets exist, each corresponding to a specific run differential threshold for either team’s victory. If Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves affirmatively. If Hiroshima wins by more than 1.5 runs—but not exceeding 2.5—the second market resolves affirmatively. Conversely, if the Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves affirmatively, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves affirmatively. Only one market can resolve to 'Yes' in any given game, depending on the exact run differential of the final score. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome of the Yomiuri Giants versus Hiroshima Toyo Carp spread. Generally, you may find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to provide informed forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score difference between the Yomiuri Giants and Hiroshima Toyo Carp will be used to determine whether the Giants win by over 1.5 runs. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by trusted sports news sources and the NPB official website. The outcome of this market will be determined by the final score of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Yomiuri Giants or Hiroshima Toyo Carp could significantly shift expectations. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected performance in preceding games or announcements about team strategy could also impact trading activity and the overall probability assigned to the Giants winning by over 1.5 runs.