TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread

Volume:
$20,412

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 8:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,565
N/A
N/A
$16,585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$835
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$1,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market focuses on the margin of victory in a baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and Hiroshima Toyo Carp. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The outcome depends entirely on the final score difference between the two teams in the specified match.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct outcome markets, each evaluating the margin of victory for either the Yomiuri Giants or the Hiroshima Toyo Carp in their game scheduled for August 5, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if Hiroshima wins by more than 2.5 runs, effectively requiring a minimum three-run victory. The second market resolves to Yes if Hiroshima secures a win by more than 1.5 runs, meaning any victory by two or more runs. Conversely, the third market resolves to Yes if the Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, again requiring at least a two-run margin. The final market resolves to Yes only if the Giants achieve a victory margin exceeding 2.5 runs, or three runs. All markets share the same underlying game and date, but each defines a different threshold for what constitutes a winning outcome. No market is affiliated with or endorsed by the official governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Giants vs Carp spread market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for this market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chances of the Yomiuri Giants covering the spread against Hiroshima Toyo Carp. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest bets and market movements, giving users a clear view of sentiment and activity around the Giants vs Carp spread market.

On Kalshi, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their spreads based on historical performance and public betting trends, this market prices in real-time participant expectations. The difference often comes down to the inclusion of unique trader insights and the ability to bet on less conventional outcomes. Traders can react quickly to new information, which may cause this market's odds to diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as game dynamics shift.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, just as it would be in any standard sportsbox score update. Once the game concludes, the results are compared against the market's conditions to settle all positions.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in team strategies can all impact this market. Performance trends in earlier matches, pitcher rotations, and even recent batting averages may shift trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster changes or updated weather forecasts could cause rapid movements in the odds, reflecting new information as it becomes available.