TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Hiroshima Carp
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs. Hiroshima Carp?

Volume:
$104,697

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 8:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$76,644
N/A
N/A
$44,593
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,111
N/A
N/A
$17,736
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Yomiuri Giants and Hiroshima Carp scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution dependent on which team wins or whether the game is canceled, postponed, or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it states the market resolves to Yes if either team wins, which is impossible for a binary Yes/No market. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as currently written.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until clarification is issued. The Polymarket logic is internally consistent and should be used as the reference framework: winner takes the market, and 50-50 split applies only to cancellations, ties, or games with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary: resolves to winning team name (Giants or Carp). Edge case: resolves 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup, postponed indefinitely, or ends in a tie. Source: Official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states market resolves Yes if Hiroshima wins AND Yes if Yomiuri wins. This violates binary market semantics and makes resolution impossible. No edge case handling specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 21 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per established rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds for the Yomiuri Giants vs. Hiroshima Carp matchup. Both venues allow traders to buy and sell shares tied to the game's outcome, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of thousands of participants. The aggregated view shows you how consensus shifts as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or recent performance trends. Total volume across both platforms reflects the combined interest in this matchup, helping you gauge market confidence and liquidity.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers who set lines and adjust them to balance action; prediction markets let traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling. Because prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants, they often reflect genuine probability estimates rather than profit-driven spreads. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated monitoring, while prediction markets can lag slightly. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities or consensus gaps.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends. A star player's absence or return can shift odds significantly. Head-to-head matchup history and current league standings also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, if relevant, may prompt late trading activity. Media coverage and expert commentary can sway perception, especially if new analysis emerges about team form or tactical adjustments. Trading volume often spikes closer to game time as casual bettors enter the market. Monitoring sports news and team social media will help you anticipate moves before they're fully priced in.