TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead beyond specific run thresholds, providing insight into expected competitiveness and potential outcomes of the game.
The event evaluates different run-differential scenarios across four distinct markets for the Yomiuri Giants vs Hanshin Tigers game scheduled for August 30, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding specified run thresholds: Hanshin Tigers by over 2.5 runs, Hanshin Tigers by over 1.5 runs, Yomiuri Giants by over 1.5 runs, and Yomiuri Giants by over 2.5 runs. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific condition. The game must occur as originally scheduled for these rules to apply; any rescheduling or cancellation will affect market resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game score and whether the Giants meet or exceed the set run spread against the Tigers, as reported by authoritative sports news and league records.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, bullpen performance, and mid-game momentum shifts can all impact this market. Strong pitching outings or late-inning comebacks may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi, especially as the game approaches. Any development altering the perceived likelihood of the Giants covering the spread can shift trader sentiment and volume before resolution.