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404,028

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VS.

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers
kalshi
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

Volume:
$37,772

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,842
N/A
N/A
$11,222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,246
N/A
N/A
$4,241
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,222
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
No
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
$747
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers outcomes from an NPB baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Hanshin Tigers. The markets differ in their specific resolution criteria, with one focusing on the outright winner and the other on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have divergent resolution logic: Polymarket resolves on the outright winner with specific rules for ties and cancellations, while Kalshi resolves on run differential thresholds without explicit tie/cancellation handling.Hero tip: Traders should verify the exact game date and official NPB announcements. Be aware that Kalshi's market may not resolve for ties or cancellations, while Polymarket has specific rules for these scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the team that wins the game. If postponed, remains open until completed. If canceled or tied, resolves 50-50. Source: official NPB information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs, Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs, Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, or Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs. No explicit handling for ties or cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event features four primary rules for the Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants Japan NPB game scheduled for August 11, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. The first market resolves to Yes if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs. Secondary rules for each market reiterate that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the Governing League, and that all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Giants vs. Tigers matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest. It displays current probabilities, volume of $37,772, and 24-hour volume at $37,691, letting you compare sentiment across platforms. This view captures the collective wisdom of bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi as they react to team news, injuries, and performance trends. Tracking this market offers insight into how the betting community expects the game to unfold, with probabilities shifting based on emerging information.

Injuries, weather delays, and pitcher rotations can all shift this market as they affect game dynamics. Key starters being ruled out or a sudden rainout could cause rapid probability adjustments on both platforms. Additionally, strong performance in preceding matches by either team may sway trader sentiment, especially if recent form suggests a momentum shift. Media narratives and expert commentary leading up to the game can also influence market sentiment, making this market responsive to both on-field developments and broader narrative shifts.