TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers two distinct baseball games between the Yomiuri Giants and Hanshin Tigers. The first is an NPB professional game scheduled for August 12, 2024, and the second is a college baseball game scheduled for August 12, 2026.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the specified college baseball game. Each threshold represents a separate condition that, if met, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that particular market. All markets share the same underlying game and date, but each resolves independently based on whether the combined runs exceed its specific threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially connected to the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information inputs. While sportsbooks may set a line based on historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets incorporate real-time data and speculative positioning. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially when market-specific narratives or news impact trader behavior.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Key performances in earlier matches involving the same teams may also influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and expert commentary leading up to the game can cause probability swings, especially if they suggest strategic advantages or disadvantages for either side.