TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 3:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other.
If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 1.5 runs in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 1.5 runs in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 runs in the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader positioning and liquidity dynamics. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on analytical models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders weigh team performance, pitcher rotations, and recent form when setting odds here, potentially offering alternative insights compared to standard sportsbook spreads.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the set spread line to determine which side of the market is correct. As long as the result is publicly reported and unambiguous, the market will settle automatically based on that official outcome.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, or weather conditions affecting game performance could all shift trader sentiment in this market. Strong performances in prior matches, media analysis, and betting trends on Kalshi may also cause price swings. As the game date approaches, any new information that impacts the perceived likelihood of covering the spread can lead to rapid movements in odds and volume.