TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$150,747

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,208
N/A
N/A
$49,989
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,607
N/A
N/A
$61,520
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Yomiuri Giants and Chunichi Dragons scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to official NPB results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Dragons win or Giants win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Kalshi's resolution criteria as documented is logically impossible. Before trading, confirm with Kalshi support whether the second outcome should resolve to No, or if the market structure has been miscommunicated. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable logic and should be preferred until Kalshi clarifies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution paths: Giants win resolves to Yomiuri Giants, Dragons win resolves to Chunichi Dragons. Postponements keep market open; cancellations, no make-up games, or ties resolve 50-50. Resolution source is official NPB information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Yes-resolution market with logical contradiction. States both Dragons win and Giants win resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No resolution. This makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 17 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final result of the game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price per standard procedures. Tied games resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Giants vs. Dragons matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time trader sentiment on the outcome. Both venues allow you to buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate across the prediction market community. You can track volume trends, compare odds between platforms, and see how sentiment shifts as game day approaches. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and understand where the broader market consensus lies on this matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on traders' direct financial incentives to price events accurately—there is no house margin, only the spread between bid and ask. This can make prediction markets more efficient at discovering true probability, especially when traders have strong information or conviction. Comparing the two reveals where professional bettors and casual traders diverge in their views.