TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$71,901

Chunichi Dragons

 - Kalshi

Chunichi Dragons - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,209
N/A
N/A
$28,017
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yomiuri Giants vs. Chunichi Dragons

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,175
N/A
N/A
$23,079
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Yomiuri Giants and the Chunichi Dragons in Japan's NPB. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, with considerations for potential postponements or cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market references a different game entirely (Dragons vs. Swallows), while Polymarket correctly focuses on the Giants vs. Dragons game.Hero tip: Focus solely on the Polymarket market for the Giants vs. Dragons game. Avoid Kalshi's market as it is for a different event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Giants or Dragons based on the outcome of the Giants vs. Dragons game on September 9th, with a 50-50 split for ties or cancellations. "If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows game on September 5th. "If Chunichi Dragons wins the Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 9 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Japan NPB game between Chunichi Dragons and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from expert analysis. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. The current volume on this market is $67,805.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence pricing. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—Polymarket currently has a volume of $71,901—affects price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of orders allowed or the availability of leverage, can also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors mean that while both platforms address the same question, the resulting prices may not always align.